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Biti sees lower growth, higher inflation in 2012
17/05/2012 00:00:00
by Reuters
 
Off target ... Tendai Biti
 
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ZIMBABWE may cut its economic growth projections for this year, while inflation forecasts could be higher than previously expected, Finance Minister Tendai Biti said on Thursday.

Since 2009, the country has been recovering from a decade of decline, but the economy remains fragile with coalition government partners President Robert Mugabe and Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai bickering over policy.

Last year Biti projected the economy was expected to grow by 9.4 percent in 2012, driven by strong performances in mining and agriculture.

"The first quarter of the year has been an extremely difficult period. We have not been able to meet our revenue targets. The key cause is non-performance of diamonds," Biti told reporters during a quarterly economic update.

"It's foreseeable...that major projections will be revised downwards."

The government generated $30.5 million from diamond sales from Marange fields in the first quarter of this year, far below the target of $123 million.

Biti decried what he called "opaqueness" in the sale of Marange diamonds, which have in the past grabbed global attention over charges of human rights violations by the army. Harare denies the charges.

Revenues in the first three months of this year were $771 million compared to a target of $870 million.

Biti said economic growth could also be affected by falling global demand for minerals, which accounted for nearly three quarters of Zimbabwe's export revenue.

The maize output for this year was 968,000 tonnes, Biti said, far below last year's 1.35 million tonnes.

"The resultant general decline in maize production will have an adverse impact on the overall agriculture output and this year's GDP projection," Biti said.

A rise in the price of pump fuel and rentals and planned food imports would continue to stoke inflationary pressure.

Zimbabwe's headline consumer inflation rate quickened to 4.03 percent in April. The government has put a target of below five percent by the end of this year.

Biti said, however, gold output reached 3.1 tonnes during the January-March period and that the country was on course to produce 15 tonnes this year.



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